Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 14.483629 16.842888 19.408783 22.399434 25.781802 29.480819 33.824301
2025-08-17 10.189344 13.327997 17.089199 21.893274 27.827379 34.875697 43.835266
2025-08-24 7.633413 10.985137 15.325470 21.279450 29.144174 39.077052 52.454091
2025-08-31 5.814124 9.102332 13.657726 20.299017 29.577765 41.902467 59.293878
2025-09-07 4.924958 8.283282 13.207560 20.757242 31.797416 47.066274 69.422669
2025-09-14 4.234289 7.607311 12.815547 21.169446 33.888760 52.111957 79.659647
2025-09-21 3.521373 6.754895 12.008050 20.811105 34.742122 55.379324 87.523870
2025-09-28 2.910603 5.954648 11.150646 20.231613 35.138401 57.923893 94.415659
2025-10-05 2.750567 5.918080 11.536167 21.676187 38.790140 65.572534 109.364572
2025-10-12 2.561868 5.792510 11.741265 22.817801 42.016602 72.742077 123.976267
2025-10-19 2.280502 5.436176 11.481395 23.110189 43.829846 77.761825 135.488166
2025-10-26 2.014678 5.063162 11.136669 23.199316 45.276236 82.243603 146.354512
2025-11-02 1.699211 4.548920 10.496394 22.759311 45.912011 85.685225 156.195022
2025-11-09 1.417289 4.055628 9.835392 22.221256 46.359923 88.913249 166.034835
2025-11-16 1.175244 3.599491 9.176251 21.595274 46.567374 91.716556 175.314004
2025-11-23 0.948890 3.124201 8.392256 20.601503 45.953449 92.984696 181.974522
2025-11-30 0.851988 2.969649 8.307699 21.065513 48.214179 99.570172 198.341182
2025-12-07 0.764513 2.820018 8.209752 21.482992 50.406046 106.152776 215.052742
2025-12-14 0.649257 2.556846 7.789380 21.120044 50.951252 109.661036 226.348770
2025-12-21 0.541896 2.286408 7.301671 20.533085 50.957069 112.113462 235.799844
2025-12-28 0.530507 2.332206 7.657352 21.996221 55.490297 123.644898 262.871499
2026-01-04 0.506720 2.329182 7.878842 23.152387 59.432924 134.218377 288.613732
2026-01-11 0.455255 2.211890 7.761480 23.448486 61.478038 141.104265 307.600055